NCAA Tournament March Madness
#287 Alabama St
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Projection: need to automatically qualify
Alabama Stateās resume is anchored by a road victory at UAB and a big neutral-site win over IUPUI but is undercut by heavy defeats at power-conference venues such as Florida State, Colorado, Cincinnati, Memphis and Missouri that diminish any at-large narrative. Close losses at New Mexico, Air Force and TennesseeāMartin show the team can compete in tough environments but do not substitute for the kind of signature wins committees prioritize. With the rest of the schedule loaded with home dates against league opponents, a series of routine conference road trips and a challenging nonconference trip to Mississippi State looming, the clearest route to the NCAA field is capturing the conference crown because the nonconference ledger lacks the marquee victories and the bad road losses have done real damage.
| Date | Opponent | Ranking | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/7 | @Florida St | 109 | L101-64 |
| 11/11 | @UAB | 107 | W77-74 |
| 11/17 | @Colorado | 85 | L94-66 |
| 11/19 | @Air Force | 324 | L66-64 |
| 11/21 | (N)IUPUI | 345 | W101-80 |
| 11/23 | (N)SIUE | 251 | L83-68 |
| 11/26 | @New Mexico | 70 | L93-87 |
| 12/7 | @TN Martin | 207 | L74-64 |
| 12/11 | @Missouri | 63 | L85-77 |
| 12/17 | @Cincinnati | 62 | L88-51 |
| 12/22 | @Memphis | 67 | L88-67 |
| 12/29 | @Mississippi St | 79 | L94-56 |
| 1/3 | @MS Valley St | 365 | 86% |
| 1/5 | @Ark Pine Bluff | 344 | 58% |
| 1/10 | Jackson St | 338 | 76% |
| 1/12 | Alcorn St | 336 | 75% |
| 1/17 | Alabama A&M | 284 | 60% |
| 1/24 | @Prairie View | 299 | 42% |
| 1/26 | @TX Southern | 330 | 52% |
| 1/31 | Bethune-Cookman | 265 | 56% |
| 2/2 | Florida A&M | 340 | 77% |
| 2/7 | @Grambling | 245 | 31% |
| 2/9 | @Southern Univ | 243 | 31% |
| 2/14 | Ark Pine Bluff | 344 | 78% |
| 2/16 | MS Valley St | 365 | 95% |
| 2/19 | @Bethune-Cookman | 265 | 34% |
| 2/21 | @Florida A&M | 340 | 57% |
| 2/28 | @Alabama A&M | 284 | 38% |
| 3/3 | Southern Univ | 243 | 52% |
| 3/5 | Grambling | 245 | 53% |